London Office Guide

The City Market

Availability of office space in the city has grown over the last 9 months and increased by 10% to c.7.0m sq.ft. in the last quarter. However the main increases were in second hand space, at the largest end of the scale where Blackrock, JP Morgan and Nomura released legacy space

In contrast, the supply of small units, is comparatively tight both in the City core and also on the Northern fringes of the City where the TMT sector has continued its migration from the more expensive West End and fringe West End areas.

So what does one conclude from this activity? Firstly, given the economic uncertainty it is not surprising that that firms are thinking twice about moving and existing landlords are being much more competitive and persuading occupiers to stay. Secondly, it is not all bad news, as the smaller end of the market has remained comparatively active, as smaller more nimble firms take advantage of good deals in the market. Thirdly, as some areas of the market retrenched others, most noticeably the TMT sector, have been very active and this has had an upwards effect on rents in these areas, ie the North City Fringe. Fourthly, certain parts of the market are experiencing downward pressure on rents &edash; ie larger, more centrally located second-hand offices, particularly where (mainly financial) occupiers are very keen to off-load surplus space.

Therefore whilst prime rents are notionally still c.£55 psf, there are bargains to be found if you know where to look for them. We anticipate that these trends will continue for the rest of 2012.
The final quarter of 2011 completed a difficult year in the City office market, which was characterised by concerns over the Eurozone, the economy falling back into recession and considerable nervousness in the financial markets.

Q4 take-up was down by 6% in the quarter to 997,000 sq.ft. resulting in the year’s total take-up being 3.74m sq.ft., down 40% for the 6.24m sq.ft. taken up in 2010. This is 25% less than the 5 year quarterly average of 1.29m sq.ft. The main reason for this was a lack of large deals; only one transaction of greater than 100,000 sq.ft. took place in 2011, in comparison to 6 in 2010. This transaction was that of Aon pre-letting 196,000 sq.ft. in the Leadenhall Building in December.

The deal was significant in two contrasting ways — firstly, Aon also announced that they were moving their Global HQ from Chicago to London — a significant boost for the London insurance market. Second but more ominously, without this transaction, Q4 take-up would have fallen by 25% to c.800,000 sq.ft. back to the levels experienced in the first half of the year.

However, the smaller end of the market has been holding up fairly well, particularly in the size range below 5,000 sq.ft. where take-up was up 15% on 2010 &emdash; see Cappuccino graph. In addition, the number of deals in 2011 was up by 16% to 780 deals in comparison to the previous year.